By: Luke Jones, Published on July 31, 2018 08:31 PM, Last Update on July 31, 2018 05:32 PM
People expecting fully autonomous vehicles to be on our roads soon may be left wanting.
Vehicles with self-driving technology implementations are already on the road and autonomous integrations are expected to increase over the next decade. We have heard a lot about how autonomous vehicles will transform road safety, auto insurance, and driver habits. It has also been widely predicted fully autonomous vehicles will be on our roads within 10-15 years.
Google, one of the key tech players behind the technology, has expressed its desire to fast forward the technology, eventually removing steering wheels and pedals from cars. Uber is already allowing autonomous tests.
In a blog post written by Russell Brandom of The Verge, manufactures predicting full autonomy in the near future are wrong. Such predications depend on the notion that the current technology will keep getting better. While this can be true for many tech services or products, there are no guarantees for autonomous cars.
The levels of autonomy in vehicles are as follows:
“For a long time, researchers thought they could improve generalization skills with the right algorithms, but recent research has shown that conventional deep learning is even worse at generalizing than we thought,” Brandom wrote. “One study found that conventional deep learning systems have a hard time even generalizing across different frames of a video, labelling the same polar bear as a baboon, mongoose or weasel depending on minor shifts in the background.”